Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/2440/119289
Type: | Conference paper |
Title: | Multiple anchors and the MOLE: Bbenefits for elicitation |
Author: | Clausen, M. Welsh, M.B. |
Citation: | Proceedings: COGSCI 2018: changing / minds, 2018 / Rogers, T.T., Rau, M., Zhu, X., Kalish, C.W. (ed./s), vol.40, pp.1506-1511 |
Publisher: | Cognitive Science Society |
Publisher Place: | Austin, USA |
Issue Date: | 2018 |
ISBN: | 9780991196784 |
Conference Name: | Annual Cognitive Science Society Meeting (COGSCI) (25 Jul 2018 - 28 Jul 2018 : Madison, USA) |
Editor: | Rogers, T.T. Rau, M. Zhu, X. Kalish, C.W. |
Statement of Responsibility: | Marianne H. Clausen, Matthew B. Welsh |
Abstract: | Anchoring is a well-known, robust effect causing estimates to be biased towards previously seen values – regardless of their relevance. Reducing anchoring bias is important for optimizing estimation. Herein, we tested the MOLE (More-Or-Less Elicitation) tool’s ability to limit the impact of anchors on estimates. In a direct elicitation task, 62 participants’ best estimates correlated with anchor values at 0.27 whereas, when using the MOLE, this relationship disappeared (r = .02). Results also showed, however, that expertise reduces the impact of anchoring (r = -0.46). We conclude that use of the MOLE assists in avoiding anchoring and that this will be most helpful in areas of high uncertainty. |
Rights: | Copyright status unknown |
Grant ID: | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/LP160101460 |
Published version: | https://cognitivesciencesociety.org/past-conferences/ |
Appears in Collections: | Aurora harvest 8 Psychology publications |
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